Flash: Short-term AUD/USD rebound a mirage – UBS

FXstreet.com (Lisbon) - Even though the AUD/USD has seen a mini-rebound over the past 48 hours, there are reasons to remain cautious on the currency on a longer-term horizon.

Key quotes

“Earlier this week for example, retail sales in Australia disappointed again.
That’s five months in a row now and it supports the RBA’s view that further currency weakness will be needed to rebalance the economy away from its dependence on mining investment as a source of growth.”

“The AUD is still a sell on rallies in our view, and our 1-month and 3-month
AUD/USD forecasts remain at 0.8800.”

AUD/USD looks toppy

AUD/USD has consolidated 0.9130/50, down from 0.9190 ahead of key US data tomorrow.
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