11 Mar 2016
USD/JPY to trade with neutral bias next week - MUFG
Lee Hardman, Currency Analyst at MUFG, expects the USD/JPY pair to trade with neutral bias in the coming week within the range of 111.50-114.50.
Key Quotes
“Foreign asset buying by Japanese investors has not lifted USD/JPY, and JPY buying by exporters has capped topside. In remarks made on March 7th, BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda explained his policy stance. The BoJ may be trying to calm market volatility in order to achieve its 2% inflation policy target and positive growth momentum through active investment.
USD/JPY could be fairly volatile ahead of the BoJ and FOMC meetings. The Fed may not raise the policy rate, and Chair Janet Yellen may also offer hints about the next policy move. The US economy may grow further, even under global deflationary pressure and uncertainty about China’s economy.
One risk may be Yellen’s hawkishness in communication. Such hawkishness could hurt global stock and commodity markets and weigh on USD/JPY. JPY buying pressure from exporters may build further ahead of the end of the fiscal year. USD/JPY is increasingly likely to drop further at this stage.”
Key Quotes
“Foreign asset buying by Japanese investors has not lifted USD/JPY, and JPY buying by exporters has capped topside. In remarks made on March 7th, BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda explained his policy stance. The BoJ may be trying to calm market volatility in order to achieve its 2% inflation policy target and positive growth momentum through active investment.
USD/JPY could be fairly volatile ahead of the BoJ and FOMC meetings. The Fed may not raise the policy rate, and Chair Janet Yellen may also offer hints about the next policy move. The US economy may grow further, even under global deflationary pressure and uncertainty about China’s economy.
One risk may be Yellen’s hawkishness in communication. Such hawkishness could hurt global stock and commodity markets and weigh on USD/JPY. JPY buying pressure from exporters may build further ahead of the end of the fiscal year. USD/JPY is increasingly likely to drop further at this stage.”