UK: Expected to have grown by 0.4% in Q1 15 - BBH

Research Team at BBH, suggests that the UK is also expected to have grown by 0.4% in Q1 15.

Key Quotes

“It expanded by 0.6% in Q4 15, which is the average quarterly pace over the past three years. The year-over-year pace may edge down to 2.0% (from 2.1%), which would be the slowest since Q1 13 and represents the fourth consecutive quarter of slowing.

As the UK economy has been gradually slowing, we are not convinced the slowing in Q1 was due to Brexit fears. This may be more of an issue for Q2.”

Central Banks: The Case for Divergence Strengthens – Goldman Sachs

Research Team at Goldman Sachs, suggests that in the early post-crisis years, a wide variety of monetary policy models—including different versions of the Taylor rule and the “optimal control” approach popularized by then-Vice Chair Janet Yellen—signaled that Fed officials would need to keep US monetary policy extremely easy for much longer than generally expected.
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