JPY: Back to Plan A - TDS

Ned Rumpeltin, European Head of Currency Strategy at TD Securities, suggests that the April BoJ policy decision is now one of a growing list of central bank outcomes that has caught market participants wrong-footed in recent months.

Key Quotes

“This largely reinforces broader trends in real interest rates this year.

Against the backdrop of a dovish Fed and prospective BoJ easing at its June meeting (ahead of elections in July), we think USDJPY will remain under pressure. 107.63 represents crucial support but a break below this threshold will strongly augur for a test of 105.44.”

US GDP to grow by 1.8% in 2016 - NAB

Tony Kelly, Senior Economist at NAB, notes that the U.S. GDP growth slowed in the March quarter to 0.1% qoq (0.5% annualised), with softer consumption growth, and business investment and net trade again detracting from growth.
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AUD: Lower commodity prices mask improved trade integration with East Asia - NAB

Research Team at NAB surveyed Australian business integration with East Asia in September 2014 and China in December 2015 and noted that the recent headline trade data indicate a reversal in the decades-long process of growing integration with our region as exports have declined.
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