USD/JPY: More upside room until summer 2019 and here is why - Nomura

Analysts at Nomura now see more upside room for USD/JPY until summer 2019.

Key Quotes:

"There are four factors behind our more bullish USD/JPY view:

  • Diminishing market expectations for BOJ normalization, 
  • Resilient US data, while US yields are becoming more sensitive to data surprises, 
  • Reduced political uncertainty in Japan, and 
  • A more USD/JPY positive supply-demand situation, as the trade balance has deteriorated while Japanese residents’ foreign investment has remained strong. We expect USD/JPY to overshoot to above 120 until next summer, before retracing from Q4 2019 onwards."

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