NZD/USD Technical Analysis: love affair with the falling trendline continues

  • The NZD/USD pair is probing the trendline falling from December highs for the third day straight. As of writing, the trendline resistance is located at 0.6786. Interestingly, the 100-period moving average (MA) on the 4-hour chart is also located at that level.
  • The confluence of the trendline and key MA, if breached, would allow extension of the recovery rally from the recent low of 0.6586, although the head-and-shoulders neckline (former support) of 0.6801 could offer resistance.
  • Moreover, forcing a convincing breakout is easier said than done for the bulls, as the averages are still biased bearish. The 50- and 100-candle MAs are trending south. Further, the stacking order of the 50-candle MA, below the 100-candle MA, below the 200-candle MA is a classic bear indicator.

4-hour chart

Trend: Neutral

NZD/USD

Overview:
    Today Last Price: 0.6783
    Today Daily change: 3.0 pips
    Today Daily change %: 0.0442%
    Today Daily Open: 0.678
Trends:
    Previous Daily SMA20: 0.6745
    Previous Daily SMA50: 0.6787
    Previous Daily SMA100: 0.6681
    Previous Daily SMA200: 0.6799
Levels:
    Previous Daily High: 0.6799
    Previous Daily Low: 0.6771
    Previous Weekly High: 0.6843
    Previous Weekly Low: 0.6516
    Previous Monthly High: 0.697
    Previous Monthly Low: 0.6686
    Previous Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 0.6782
    Previous Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 0.6788
    Previous Daily Pivot Point S1: 0.6768
    Previous Daily Pivot Point S2: 0.6755
    Previous Daily Pivot Point S3: 0.674
    Previous Daily Pivot Point R1: 0.6796
    Previous Daily Pivot Point R2: 0.6811
    Previous Daily Pivot Point R3: 0.6824

 

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