Forex Today: Non-Farm Payrolls set to fire up markets, trade talks in trouble

  • After a sleepy US-holiday session, the US Non-Farm Payrolls report is set to rock markets.
  • Real expectations are lower than official ones after weak data.
  • The US and China are reportedly at odds as trade talks resume.
  • Cryptocurrencies are on the back foot after rising beforehand.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, July 5th, European session:
- Comatose markets amid the US holiday will likely make way to choppy price action when the US Non-Farm Payrolls report will be released amid thinner trading volume.
- June NFP: expectations stand at 160K jobs gained in June while the "whisper number" is 120K after weak ADP NFP,  ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, and more. Wages are projected to rise by 0.3% MoM and 3.2% YoY, better than in May.
- Canada is expected to report a modest increase in jobs after several months of upbeat employment growth.
- Global bond yields are on the back foot with the German 10-year bund yield temporarily breaching -0.40% – the European Central Bank's deposit rate. Christine Lagarde's nomination to lead the ECB has contributed to the move.
- Trade: China reportedly insists that all punitive tariffs and sanctions against Huawei will be removed. The world's second-largest economy may withhold purchases of US agricultural goods.
- UK politics: Boris Johnson vows to keep the UK's unity amid criticism. Johnson and Hunt continue battling for the leadership of the country.
- Bitcoin has retreated toward $11,000 and other cryptocurrencies have also dropped.
 

FX option expiries for July 5 NY cut

FX option expiries for July 5 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 1.1250 625m 1.1295 558m 1.1300 997m -
Mehr darüber lesen Previous

GBP/USD technical analysis: Range bound between 1.2560, 4H 21MA

Despite bouncing off near-term horizontal support around 1.2560, the GBP/USD pair’s upside remains confined by 4H 21MA during early Friday.
Mehr darüber lesen Next